Eemmm..betul la..that why they dont pick up the phone.. tripaka lend me some money..hahaha..just be along for me only.. i wont tell polis.. dont wory..trust me..
Sorry ran777 and zmgoh I am in Hong Kong therefore did not track today's performance but just to recap what I said dated on 1 April when Mpay was still trading @ 27 sen trying to break its strong resistance then at 27.5 sen.
HISTORICAL RECAP Last month consolidation over and April is a good month for Mpay to rally into mid May to new highs above 35 sen based on greater thematic investor interest in GST related counters as the GST Bill gets passed through Parliament, corporate development on the TRS front and increase buying from Dato Dahlan directly or indirectly.
The current resistance at 27-27.5 sen will be broken and turn into a support line I trust. 01/04/2014 09:00
CURRENT WHAT WE KNOW 7 April - The GST Bill was passed in Parliament and on the same day Dato Dahlan announced he was increasing his equity in Mpay and disposing placement shares directly to his nominees (not in the market).
8 April - Mpay announced a definitive Agreement entered into between the Korean TRS operator and Dato Dahlan's company ETRS. Further details in Bursa announcement out late this evening:
The stock has moved up 18% so far in April from end March 27 sens to current 32 sens today.
MY ANALYSIS
It is not a coincidence that Mpay is gathering steam moving up in tandem with the GST Bill approval and timing of the announcements. These new Bumiputera shareholders (direct and layered) obviously knows what is happening behind the scene and is managing the price uptrend as the thematic play on GST counters gathers more interests based on the average daily volume of 18 million a day in April versus daily average of 8 million only in March (increase of over >100%)
I am still long on my third round at 30.5 sens and I believe any short term pull back to this level presents fantastic buying opportunities. I believe although the warrants represents a fantastic leverage instrument to make a fast trading profit, the 34% premium over the mother share is far too high a risk for me personally to bear in case my analysis is wrong therefore I still prefer the mother share although I admit my total overall averages are near the 20 sens level.
I would be on the lookout for further buying by either Dato Dahlan or Mr Chew as a sweetener confirmation of further upside and some new bumiputera appointments onto the Board of Mpay as a confirmation of a revitalised Mpay horse moving to the 35-38 sens level target in anticipation of of the Customs contract. Once confirmed that Mpay has secured the TRS contract the stock is worth 50 sens fundamentally 12 months forward (not immediate). The beginning of April series of corporate announcements and explosive stock movement in light of greater GST theme play seems to point to that exactly. Expect more sweeteners I say.
Food for thought...If Mpay's movement next 30 days replicates its February movement of 68% upside (from 16 to 27 sens then) we are looking at 45 sens by mid May. I dare to pray and hope its true but nevertheless I believe 35-38 sens is achievable on this run. Support at 30.5-31 sens and target 38 sens. Thank you and goodnight from Hong Kong.
I foresee a very strong support at 32 cts , if breaches this level, it may move to 30/30.5 cts , I think not likely as the volume is decreasing when its price weakens! chart-wise %K and % D more or less even , it means to say that selling down the price somewhat got the resistance as the support at 32 cts is still very strong that is 3-4 times the sellers . The best tactic is buying slowly at each level of weakness as we are not sure how low it may go as it may spring up in the late afternoon if nothing serious happen! Disclaimer clause attached.
Have you no ethics Optimus calling people like that. Just be yourself and please do not envy a successful trader like Madiba. It is normal for your standard to get wrong in predictions/judgement whatever. Please learn from the expert and avoid repeating the same mistake. Pity you Optimus. Thumbs up for Madiba.
Any take on Destini? A very much promising counter for me too. Am currently holding the warrant. FYI, the company has a strong connection with the Government. Keep it in your watchlist at least =)
even the no of buyers are more than sellers around 2 x but there are sellers selling lower instead of following market trends , as if there are attempts to pushing down the price further....? 2 cts
Today, small volume. Have a feeling operator/syndicate is trying to flush out contra players; good for the market. Counter may take a breather 2moro and starts 2move next week. Just sharing my observation.
Felt the same as the other forumers here. Following the trend and the momentum, MPAY should be rising steadily at least. From the past trading patterns, I would rather believe that MPAY is not a counter for swing traders and punters.
As I stated earlier, the operators are still accumulating with support now at 22sen WA and 31.5sen mother. If that is the case, then TP 1 of 38.5sen could be breached rather quickly and the next TP of 41sen as speculated in madiba's posting (ie if the play is like the show in February)should be achievable.
here got many good ppl willing to share their expertise. happy to hear good comment.. on my view profit taking not dont yet.. but i have faith tomorrow will be better.. since im looking to find weak price, i think tomorrow will be the answer.. please update if got any new news..
resistance at 0.325 has already been breached, and the uptrend is so strong, it is time for it to have a nice rest, then start the engine again, I think the uptrend is likely to continue after correction :)
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Posted by pzul > 2014-04-09 13:27 | Report Abuse
I already borrow from along to staby..hehehe.. just joking..