HENGYUAN REFINING COMPANY BERHAD

KLSE (MYR): HENGYUAN (4324)

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Last Price

2.42

Today's Change

+0.03 (1.26%)

Day's Change

2.39 - 2.46

Trading Volume

638,700


33 people like this.

123,785 comment(s). Last comment by kebling98 2 days ago

ty Y

130 posts

Posted by ty Y > 2022-08-03 15:24 | Report Abuse

Of course I didn't write it, my friend passed it on to me! I share with you. My friend told me something! I will tell you after this heng yuan releases its second quarter financial report. The so-called master of you guys heart. Blek !

probability

14,463 posts

Posted by probability > 2022-08-03 15:49 | Report Abuse

@stockwin, good you reminded on the hedging

For those who are fearful on hedging loss, kindly check on the below

In summary, hedging done by HY is absolutely mandatory as pure refiner unlike PetronM (who's selling price is naturally hedged by the retail price that floats) to secure refining margin (else, HY would be considered a trader). The hedging loss is purely a delayed gain that will be reflected on the following month and vise versa for hedging gain.

There is really no other way to go about it.

https://klse1.i3investor.com/blogs/2017/2022-06-11-story-h1624320379-HENGYUAN_derivatives_loss_on_Q1_22_completely_clarification.jsp

IshraaqNor

655 posts

Posted by IshraaqNor > 2022-08-03 21:51 | Report Abuse

Betul. Tunggu HY mengumumkan Q2 results...

tehka

1,928 posts

Posted by tehka > 2022-08-04 10:04 | Report Abuse

Ty Y got what news your friend telling you? Lai share pls

cK1973

1,837 posts

Posted by cK1973 > 2022-08-04 13:44 | Report Abuse

Chinaman, Chinaman.....
Sustaining well as still above 4.....
Relax first.

cK1973

1,837 posts

Posted by cK1973 > 2022-08-04 13:53 | Report Abuse

unker & otb takde sini...
mana syok....

ty Y

130 posts

Posted by ty Y > 2022-08-04 17:17 | Report Abuse

8月2日,三大石油公司同一天发布财报,业绩均大超预期。其中,英国石油公司 (NYSE:BP)(BP)第二季度利润高达93亿美元,创下14年以来单季利润新高;美国最大炼油厂马拉松原油(Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC))二季度则大赚近57亿美元,较去年同期的4.37亿美元,暴增12倍。

此外,被巴菲特狂买的西方石油也在周二盘后公布了第二季度业绩,季度净利润达到37.55亿美元,同比狂飙36倍多。

已经公布财报的能源巨头中,埃克森美孚 (NYSE:XOM)、雪佛龙公司 (NYSE:CVX)、壳牌、道达尔的二季度利润均刷新历史新高,加上英国石油公司,五大能源巨头当季利润总和高达550亿美元(折合人民币3700亿元),几乎是去年同期的两倍。此前,美国总统拜登就直言,石油巨头赚的“比上帝还多”。

ty Y

130 posts

Posted by ty Y > 2022-08-04 17:18 | Report Abuse

I don't think much needs to be said.

probability

14,463 posts

Posted by probability > 2022-08-04 22:03 | Report Abuse

Diesel crack spread is moving up again on live data..
Tomorrow will be even higher with the crude oil price drop.


https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYMEX-GZ1!/

= (10.5 million barrels sales /qtr ) x (yield at 46 % for Diesel) x ( crack spread USD 40/brl)
= MYR 846 million gross profit

and you only need a gross profit of 500 for EPS of RM 1

lets not bring in Mogas 95 , Jet Fuel, LPG etc...for simplicity

Relax....just 24 days to go.

IshraaqNor

655 posts

Posted by IshraaqNor > 2022-08-04 23:28 | Report Abuse

Masih pegang dan menantikan keputusan Q2 yg baik...

brian3381

1,888 posts

Posted by brian3381 > 2022-08-04 23:31 |

Post removed.Why?

cK1973

1,837 posts

Posted by cK1973 > 2022-08-05 10:23 | Report Abuse

slow and steady ma... speed limit 40 je ma

IshraaqNor

655 posts

Posted by IshraaqNor > 2022-08-05 11:49 | Report Abuse

Tak apa. Tengok apa yang akan dikatakan oleh pasukan pengurusan HengYuan tentang prospek minyak dan gas

sharemarket21

1,898 posts

Posted by sharemarket21 > 2022-08-05 11:58 | Report Abuse

Commodities play and thin volume trading range. Expected. Good job for those who have cashed out 4.40 above. Big boys have so much mercy. Oil price normalizing benefiting sectoral but impacting the stock further. The share price tumbled during the oil price peaking. Imagine the other way round ? No brainer.

Posted by PenditaAlam > 2022-08-05 12:04 | Report Abuse

RM 1.67 coming soon

abc333

1,523 posts

Posted by abc333 > 2022-08-05 12:13 | Report Abuse

3.9 coming soon

kl_guy

1,479 posts

Posted by kl_guy > 2022-08-05 12:34 | Report Abuse

good if hit rm3.90 ...then can pick up call warrant

Fc78020

753 posts

Posted by Fc78020 > 2022-08-05 12:42 | Report Abuse

this stock no more hope?

Posted by Yawn.... Zzzzz > 2022-08-05 13:03 | Report Abuse

Hengyuan no hope already,giveup la

Posted by cooldownguy86 > 2022-08-05 14:13 | Report Abuse

@probability: hengyuan profit doesn't seem to be correlated to diesel crack spread especially in 2018 and 2019. Any comments on that?

Phoebe

452 posts

Posted by Phoebe > 2022-08-05 14:48 | Report Abuse

@ty Y. Thanks for sharing. The phase really look so familiar. Just like yester years.

Is this an advise or instruction?? ^_^
"Do not sell Hengyuan, buy and hold until the Q2 2022 result is released to make a final decision."

This is so contradicting on the above statement
"The final decision to buy is always yours."

RM19.50??? So many innocent small fish will jump in to buy loh.

ty Y
Recommendation
Do not sell Hengyuan, buy and hold until the Q2 2022 result is released to make a final decision.
I believe the target price of Hengyuan will be very high, the target price should be higher than the all-time high price at 19.50.
The final decision to buy is always yours.

Fc78020

753 posts

Posted by Fc78020 > 2022-08-05 16:06 | Report Abuse

stock will sleep 3 years, slowly drift to become worthless paper

investor77

794 posts

Posted by investor77 > 2022-08-05 17:25 | Report Abuse

number of shares only 300 mil, so net profit of RM 300mil will give EPS of Rm 1/ !!! Dont understand why many wants to see HYuan go down to RM2. Even below RM 4/, there will be many buyers. In 2017, even with crack spread of around USD 10-15, price was above Rm 8 !! The most under rated share cos of fear of Derivative loss, which may turn to derivative gain !! Europe, Asia all stupendous gain for Refiners, why is Malaysia exceptional when refining capacity is limited ? Will be like TSH, now only starting to move, watch out. !!

anthonytkh

1,802 posts

Posted by anthonytkh > 2022-08-05 17:32 | Report Abuse

To the bosses of HY : You know why EPF did it recently. But that’s besides the point

Improve your fundamentals. It’s terrible

Posted by bullmarket1628 > 2022-08-06 08:03 |

Post removed.Why?

ty Y

130 posts

Posted by ty Y > 2022-08-06 08:30 | Report Abuse

Why warren buffer keep buying refinery company ?

Jerichomy

4,346 posts

Posted by Jerichomy > 2022-08-06 10:58 |

Post removed.Why?

Jerichomy

4,346 posts

Posted by Jerichomy > 2022-08-06 10:59 |

Post removed.Why?

probability

14,463 posts

Posted by probability > 2022-08-06 22:51 | Report Abuse

The Diesel Crisis Is Far From Over

By Charles Kennedy - Aug 02, 2022

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Diesel-Crisis-Is-Far-From-Over.html

probability

14,463 posts

Posted by probability > 2022-08-06 22:53 | Report Abuse

German Oil Refiner Is Seeing ‘Run on Heating Oil and Diesel’

4 August 2022

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-04/oil-refiner-omv-germany-seeing-run-on-heating-oil-and-diesel#xj4y7vzkg

probability

14,463 posts

Posted by probability > 2022-08-06 22:55 | Report Abuse

Column: U.S. diesel shortage shows economy hitting capacity limit

LONDON, Aug 4 (Reuters)

https://capital.com/column-u-s-diesel-shortage-shows-economy-hitting-capacity-limit-kemp

cactus81

252 posts

Posted by cactus81 > 2022-08-07 00:43 | Report Abuse

@Probability
The EIA data seem like contrasting with the report. Anyway the oil price drop should encourage petrol consumption.

mf

28,412 posts

Posted by mf > 2022-08-07 04:59 | Report Abuse

Fed rate hikes expected to become more aggressive after strong jobs report
PUBLISHED FRI, AUG 5 202211:22 AM EDTUPDATED FRI, AUG 5 20221:06 PM EDT
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Posted by GrowthCapitalist > 2022-08-07 13:34 | Report Abuse

Mind sharing why the fed rates hikes cause by the strong job report?

Star8888

353 posts

Posted by Star8888 > 2022-08-07 16:38 | Report Abuse

Sell HengYuan and PetronM

Crack spread drop 5.74%
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYMEX-D1N1%21/

Gasolin crack spread drop 5.63%
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/hiuzadjh/?symbol=NYMEX%3AGZ1%21

kl_guy

1,479 posts

Posted by kl_guy > 2022-08-07 17:09 | Report Abuse

i'm betting hengyuan q-report will be great. If monday drop , going to pick up hengyuan-c24 and wait till q-report out.

stockwin

285 posts

Posted by stockwin > 2022-08-07 19:10 | Report Abuse


https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYMEX-D1N1%21/
Never understand the relationship between the above chart and financial performance of HY, Do you??

ty Y

130 posts

Posted by ty Y > 2022-08-08 08:22 | Report Abuse

Exxon mobile n shell plc stock price increase 1.67% on last week friday

kl_guy

1,479 posts

Posted by kl_guy > 2022-08-08 08:49 | Report Abuse

coming q-report is for April till june 2022 and hengyuan product 43% is in diesel .

Jerichomy

4,346 posts

Posted by Jerichomy > 2022-08-08 11:58 | Report Abuse

Gg

Jerichomy

4,346 posts

Posted by Jerichomy > 2022-08-08 12:00 |

Post removed.Why?

rr88

6,531 posts

Posted by rr88 > 2022-08-08 12:51 | Report Abuse

1,497 lots half day volume. You take this lousy volume and you shove it up OTB ASS.

I told you its coming back to square 1 at 3.70 - 4.00 with little volume trading sideways for a year.

I told you dont follow LOUSY OTB. I told you I am 100x better than OTB.

kl_guy

1,479 posts

Posted by kl_guy > 2022-08-08 13:08 | Report Abuse

r88, u got stuck at which level ? maybe need to pickup when hengyuan hit bottom to average out. RM3.70 -rm4.00 possible.

cK1973

1,837 posts

Posted by cK1973 > 2022-08-08 13:08 | Report Abuse

boleh tahan jugak ma ... still above 4 ....
i relaks aje...

IshraaqNor

655 posts

Posted by IshraaqNor > 2022-08-08 17:55 | Report Abuse

Betul. Terus kaji pergerakan O&G dan tunggu keputusan Q2 yg cemerlang

Posted by bullmarket1628 > 2022-08-09 07:29 |

Post removed.Why?

Star8888

353 posts

Posted by Star8888 > 2022-08-09 09:07 | Report Abuse

Crack spread drop 3.78% to 6.831. Sell HengYuan and PetronM

IshraaqNor

655 posts

Posted by IshraaqNor > 2022-08-09 11:28 | Report Abuse

Saya mendapati banyak aktiviti dan sukan telah, sedang dan akan dijalankan, contohnya FIBA Asia Cup 2022, Birmingham 2022 Commenwealth sport, FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022, dan sebagainya. Fenomena ini menunjukkan aktiviti di seluruh dunia meningkat dan melambangkan permintaan O&G masih tinggi...

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