if you identified Masteel as good counter, now with bonus issue you will have more share holding. If company continue to perform better and better and the sky is limit, eventually you will have very good profit with more share holding. That's the reason people happy with bonus issue (although the price adjusted on ex-date but SKY IS THE LIMIT!).
1. Most of their inventories are made of raw materials (based on data from AR2016) and this will benefit Masteel in Q3 due to higher ASP rebar price. Their inventories management is based on FIFO basis which may drive Q3 profit higher than my Masteel part 1 article’s estimation.
2. Current Masteel’s inventories level (RM433 mil) is even higher than its whole market capital. If Masteel increase their production utilization rate to 90% (from 80% in 2016), then its revenue and profit should break new high (YoY and QoQ) due to higher ASP price of rebar (around RM2350 to 2400 in Q3 and RM2550 in Q4 per ton).
3. Masteel will be benefited from recent rebar price rally from RM2000 to RM2600++ (Sept and Q4) (Possible EPS of 9.99 sen in coming quarter).
4. It is a mid capital rebar counter which the weak Q3’16 and Q4’16 results indicate that it still has big room of improvement in term of EPS or PE ratio. If next quarter can deliver 9.99 sen EPS, then Masteel’s possible fair value could be RM1.89 (PE 8x) and RM2.34 (PE 10x, after bonus).
5. China has implemented steel production cut in Q4, high domestic rebar demands, export market opportunities and low inventory in local rebar manufacturers provide sustainability of high rebar average selling price in Q4’17.
If you interested on my analysis report, please contact me at davidlimtsi3@gmail.com
1. Forex gain good. 2.Demand High. 3.Lower cost from importing material dominated in USD. 4. Increase steel price. 5. Strategies location. 6. Gov project not yet running.(mostly mega project) 7. Low debt among compares to other 3 counter.
"300 million sap sap for masteel......Hopefully net cash company." "7. Low debt among compares to other 3 counter."
you don't have to hope and pray hard for a net cash company lionind has no debt, already a net cash company..... AND now still cheaper than masteel....
JN88 All mega project will run after April....wakakakaka China steel production no need to futher cut just maintain at this level.
Mega project and high demand will push up the steel price..At least next 4 quarters.
300 million sap sap for masteel......Hopefully net cash company.
30/01/2018 13:09
JN88 Coming 4 quarter:
1. Forex gain good. 2.Demand High. 3.Lower cost from importing material dominated in USD. 4. Increase steel price. 5. Strategies location. 6. Gov project not yet running.(mostly mega project) 7. Low debt among compares to other 3 counter.
Lion share number :718 million vs Masteel 320 million
EPS last Q RM 4 sen, Masteel 12 sen. Good management team.
Pls look back the record of last 5 years for these two company.
I dont like the company that suddenly posted huge net lose like lion.
Hiaptek also same story. Not consistent. Still remember last two quarter Hiaptek post a huge negetive net profit , then come up v a positive net profit.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
pareto_8020
82 posts
Posted by pareto_8020 > 2018-01-30 07:22 | Report Abuse
true...