alamak, what happen to armada, crash boom bang, the price go pokai liao, sellllllllllll ruuuuuuuuuuuuuuunnnnnnnnnnnn fastttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttt
"For the first nine months ended Sept 30, Bumi Armada staged a turnaround with a net profit of RM293.79mil compared to a net loss of RM1.04bil in the previous corresponding period."
another 100mil in Q4. total 393mil for 2019. Hoseh liao.
DJIA futures bounced back more than 200 points. Oil price also rebounding. KLCI also rebounding from oversold.
Doesn't anyone realize that the new coronavirus cases in China and number of death, the growth engine of the world has reduced substantially these few days? The media is obviously more focused on reporting on South Korea, Iran and Italy because they generates more views. Stable and improving situation in China = less fear = less viewers.
Also, the political situation in Malaysia affects more domestic demand oriented companies - think fo your telcos, banks, consumers, constructions, alcohol and gaming sectors. These sectors face a lot of uncertainties because they depend a lot of government policies and local consumers.
Sectors like oil and gas, gloves, plantation stocks etc. that either derive revenue from overseas or exports overseas are relatively immune to any domestic political shocks. Especially companies like Armada where all the FPSOs are overseas earning USD. It doesn't matter whether Mahathir or Anwar or Azmin or Hishamuddin or whoever becomes PM. It doesn't matter if oil price is around US$60 or US$50 or US$40 (the breakeven cost for Kraken's production is around US$20+ ,as long as oil price is above this amout, it is economically feasible to continue production, and Armada will continue to earn the fixed charter rate).
Bumi Armada's cashflow will still be strong, recurring and stable.
Amongst the O&G companies, I would say FPSO guys are the best to invest now as a defensive move as their revenue is relatively immune to volatilities. That means companies like Yinson and Armada.
For me, Yinson is currently priced at a premium because they have much better leverage levels than Armada. While Armada is being punished although things have improved so much compared to 2 years ago.
So make your own call on what to do. It's your money.ta fa free? lose then? what is this post purpose here?
I've held through the past 8 quarterly results - gone through the ups and downs of the 2018 excruciating write-down losses of Kraken and also the reversion to strong net profit in 2019.
Gary will fight very hard to produce a sparkling full year 2019 results because his pay is tied to it amongst other components like Kraken improvements etc.
The big elephant in the room is the so called potential impairment of Claire post court judgment as brought up by some people on this forum. Claire's disappointing results have obviously been priced in during the fall from 0.55 to 0.35. Also Armada has not declared whether they are going to appeal or not, so any potential impairment in Q4 2019 is premature until the final outcome at the court of appeal (if BA decides to appeal).
On balance, we're likely to see the best quarterly results ever in Q4 2019 from these 3 key drivers:
1) Kraken's uptime to >90% in 2H2019 (verified by Enquest) 2) Perdana RM18m/quarter savings fully recognized in Q4 from the sale of Perdana in end Q3. 3) Higher OMS utilization (combination of idle vessel disposal to pare down debt and more vessels deployed in Malaysia for Petronas)
Thereafter, in 2020, the key catalysts are:
1) OMS utilization improvement from the current 58%. This will be key in 2020 as the key growth driver. This includes the deployment of Armada Constructor and Installer at Caspian Sea Otherwise, all other FPSOs are at full utilization. 2) Disposal of Armada Claire - whatever value they get will be a cashflow gain to offset debt. I have assumed that BA will not win any appeal on Claire and will only get back the RM5m awarded by the Australian court in Sundry claims. 3) Further disposal of idle OMS vessels unlikely to be deployed to reduce maintenance cost and get cash to pare down debt. The goal is to get utilization of OMS closer to 100%.
Lastly, the 9+7 years RM8.8bn ONGC JV contract with Shapoorji Pallonji will kick in later, maybe from 2021 onwards.
There you go, all the key factors and drivers clearly laid out for you to make informed decisions. Whatever analyst reports you read later will more or less say the same thing.
Goodluck all. Your money your call
and please share your opinion on the post also, lose money how? purpose? confirm win?
It's time to refocus on the business operations of Bumi Armada.
Which is a fixed term, fixed charter FPSO contract that is stable and recurring for many years to come.
I think the market is very slow to recognize Kraken's improvement to >90% operational efficiency, which Enquest has deemed to be excellent and above expectations. This would mean that Bumi Armada would not need to pay any penalties to further fix Kraken for a long time period in the future (net off against charter revenue), so we will see substantially increased cashflow from Kraken in the future. This is HUGE for Bumi Armada.
We'll see this reflected in Q4 onwards.
where does this come from? copy paste? pao armada ? come test power
If anwar becomes next PM - uncertainty removed. If mahathir re-elected to become next PM - uncertainty removed.
The market has priced in the uncertainty this morning with the big dip. No matter what is the outcome - BA will be unaffected operationally. Hence, the only way is to go up when all these blow over.
It’s sad that this forum has deteriorated and stooped to this level of gibberish. I have decided that it’s not useful to me anymore in anyway and I will stop posting as it’s just a waste of time.
bullrun1985, I carry myself truthfully and stood against tyranny. This bunch of retards are nothing more than ONE low class digital bully opening multiple account.
Again, ARBB is not IR4.0. IR4.0 is awesome. ARBB IS NOT. Very likely a SCAM job.
Do your careful research on ARBB. Out of 35mil 2019 profit, 40+mil from increased trade receivables. Operationally, ARBB is ACTUALLY operationally deficit by 4-5mil.
When these trade receivables are written off, then the "profits" will vaporize.
From a timber/wood manufacturer; suddenly 360 change into IR4.0 company. Issue 1.4bil ICPS at 0.01sen. 20sen to convert into a share. After converting, still get free 5-6sen per share by selling open market. Why go buy premium at 27-28sen. The fair value should be 21sen. Why wanna benefit them by buying high? Currently, converted about 200mil shares, got 1.2billion shares yet to be converted. Own subsidiary ARBIOT that report 35mil earnings by increasing trade receivables by 40mil to support 1.2Bil shares diluting EPS. Currently at PE 2, what a way to set value trap. You can read from Q4,18 quarters until last quarter reports. You will agree with me.
Let see if these trade receivables turns into cash or vaporize. Stay safe. Don't be victim of scam.
let the rakyat choose a new gov or? scammers usually have a lot of pok pok pok pok cock talk here right? all gone? all those so called "pro" retarded sifu where are you? psssssstt actually they are scammers in armada, be alert, guys!
Mike follow the mood if there are hooligan running with a metal rod around your area u need to take a metal rod else the that rod will be in your Asshol*. Minds are angry , stressed, pissed take care mike.
Litigation in the Supreme Court of Western Australia between Armada Balnaves Pte Ltd and Woodside Energy Julimar Pty Ltd BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
Type Announcement Subject OTHERS Description Litigation in the Supreme Court of Western Australia between Armada Balnaves Pte Ltd and Woodside Energy Julimar Pty Ltd The previous announcements made on 4 March 2016, 8 March 2016, 11 March 2016, 14 March 2016, 21 April 2016 and 21 January 2020 respectively by Bumi Armada Berhad (“Bumi Armada”) on the above matter refers.
In the announcement made on 21 January 2020, it was stated that, “Any appeal is to be lodged by 14 February 2020”. Bumi Armada wishes to clarify that any appeal is to be lodged within 21 days after the date of the final orders and not from the date of the judgement issued by the Supreme Court on 24 January 2020. The final orders are expected to be issued by 7 February 2020, however it may take longer if there is dispute between the parties as to the form of the orders.
Bumi Armada is currently reviewing the judgment and considering possible grounds of appeal. Bumi Armada will provide updates from time to time on any further material developments on this matter.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
malaysiaphy
9 posts
Posted by malaysiaphy > 2020-02-26 09:27 | Report Abuse
you want to pao armada? keep on doing it, later dun get pao by us!