Pls don follow IB TP. They have their favor stock. They will write what they want. Just extract the info from analyst btiefing will do. MIB always revised TP when thing materialized for BAB. Previously all IB also treat BAB like this bcos BAB always disappointing the analysts. But now left MIB i guess bcos their top stock under fpso or o&g is yinson. They have no choice.
Niki, depending on the type of investor you are. There is certainly not much dynamic that is of interest about Armada at this point . Yes the key is you can park your money else where, to get some faster return. Yes I agree its interesting , in fact far too interesting not to be able to comprehend the true mismatch . Afraid, Not an investor type who will wait there like a scare crow. Time to move on for me
I also believe that BArmada will score their projects eventually. Not blamig IB analysts for having their doubts either, as all they see are disposals of assets, business exits, writedowns. Why should they include possible contract extensions when the company did not secure anything new in 5 years as if they cared little about new business ... ?
The AI analysis from robotic sites like Wall Street system is same opinion. Expecting revenues to go down.
But trends continue until they change ... this one will be broken one way or another.
Fear due to state election, thx to those monkeys that try to overturn the current government. Political instability is the weakness of our current market.
Let us hope that armada v is going to perform better than kraken. Can wait 3 months extra if they do not get into efficiency / perfomance non-delivery.
It is also going to be interesting for Yinson. I see they propose a dividend. Investors ponder it. Better than proposing 1.5 mln dollar for the CEO, Gary Ch. (resolution 8) who seems to care about himself mainly (I am alright Jack, they say, and I had a boss named Jack once). ______________________________________________________ Yinson Holdings Berhad Proposes Final Single-Tier Dividend for the Financial Year Ended January 31, 2023 Yinson Holdings Berhad at its AGM to be held on July 13, 2023, proposed the payment of a Final Single-Tier Dividend of 1 sen per ordinary share in respect of the financial year ended 31 January 2023.
I owned Yinson for 5 years. Switched to BArmada, as I see more reward potential here. Yinson is already priced to perfection. Dividend is the cherry on the cake. Once armada declares dividend, it will be time to head for the exit, leaving the counter to the widows and orphans,
key maintenance which scheduled to execution during 3 quarter. being executed during shut in period which eventually compensate loss revenue from this shut In period. secondly Jun is final month of 2 quarter which impact from earnings should be minimal.
Even though pump is submersible, the transformer will be likely located on the deck of FPSO. So replacing it is not a big deal. Transformer though critical is not very expensive. They should have redundant one. Much more difficult to remove pump which would be under the sea in the wellbore at certain not too large depth. So we are lucky. All doable. Minimum hard work. A lot of paperwork to fix. And I was also thinking about future maintenance which can be carried out. Winmal is right, it can be done, but usually pre scheduling is required, so not much may be arranged ad hoc.
Guys, I doubt this is a minor issue. Their FPSOs have unplanned shut downs rather frequently but we've never seen them make a Bursa announcement before.
If it was a minor issue why spook the market by making an official announcement?
Looks rather bad. I of course hope it can be resolved.
Oil field owner Enquest Inc. didn't make any announcement but the Armada kepoh made this announcement in Bursa and yet couldn't provide impact detail. Anyway I will buy if market willing to give discount for this short term problem.
Nic. Planned or unplanned shutdown if due to periodic operation issue on wear and tear may not need to announce. Material announcement may or may not necessary due to huge losses. Sometime they are unable to quantify the lossess or timelime to resolve the matter be ir 1 week or 1 month then they have to accouncement 1st fort the interest of investors. So dont be tend to over positive or extremely negative towards the announcement. Risk to be taken for investment. To me this is one off and not recurring. If drag for 1 month revenue might drop 1 to 2 % of annual revenue.
Unless, management has an incentive to momentarily suppress share price, of course, and as such announce this.
But try not to second guess too much, in their entire lifetime, Bumi Armada never made any announcement of a shut in even though it has happened numerous times in the past at Kraken, TGT, Olombendo and other fields.
Assuming no ulterior motive, this is bad. Can't sugar coat it
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Gabriel Khoo
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Posted by Gabriel Khoo > 2023-05-27 13:18 | Report Abuse
Pls don follow IB TP. They have their favor stock. They will write what they want. Just extract the info from analyst btiefing will do. MIB always revised TP when thing materialized for BAB. Previously all IB also treat BAB like this bcos BAB always disappointing the analysts. But now left MIB i guess bcos their top stock under fpso or o&g is yinson. They have no choice.