The placement shares were listed on the 18 March and on the same day ETRS sold half its block to its director Dato Dahlan (price undisclosed). What we do know is that the low on 18 March was 22.5 sen (close 23.5 sen) and subsequently it has shot up (not down) to a high of 27,5 sen (closing 27 sen) yesterday up 17% from ETRS disposal day. Does that indicate net buying or net selling by somebody in the market?
If ETRS has been selling in the market the past 1 week I doubt the share price would have risen given the amount of stock they can dispose. No stock can buck the trend if a major shareholder has been selling in the market given the short term supply imbalance.
However the disposal does raise a red flag for me since it may also indicate something not right somewhere which I am not able to pin point at the moment. So although I have been bullish on this stock I would like to highlight that this disposal is a concern and would prefer to withhold any further buying until two things are cleared:
1) Prove of further buying by Dato Dahlan indicating growing confidence and credibility in getting the TRS contract;
(2) Additional corporate development announcement relating to securing the TRS contract.
Until these two are satisfied to negate the red flag warning I won't be surprised Mpay drops back to its support level of around 22-23 sen. As I said last week I expected this week to be a consolidation week but did not expect this red flag corporate announcement.
Downgrade from bullish to neutral until proven otherwise.
madiba is very objective and pro. like other ppls would defend to death wat they had said earlier since they have vested interest. from technical reading. the mother share attempted to break 27.5 twice, and failed. this is bearish bcos it indicated ppls who know better r selling. secondly. the 18th sudden drop may due to pp selling into market. owner who bot back the huge amount with prior arrangement with the pp holder, and push it up to unload to unsuspecting public. chances r they just wanna make a quick buck or the company has no fund for the pp so contra off. those who cannot hold, has to exit. those who can hold, wait n see.
etrs is supposed to join in mpay as a strategic partner for the trs project. the fact that they "may b" dumping the cheap pp into the market means they r either know something they didnt know earlier, or they r just in to con owner get cheap block for fast money. worst still, they may not have money to keep the 9% share.
And what have you been predicting leslie has been proven consistently 100% wrong the last 3 months. Mpay is still holding at 0.255 sen (down 0.005 sen only) so I think you will be proven wrong again.
I have scan through the Bursa announcement and observing the price action this morning I can say with a greater degree of confidence that ETRS and Dato Dahlan are not selling in the market and may be even buying below the 5% reporting radar to avoid their strategic buy moves being noticed. This is because since their pp shares got listed last week from a subscription price of 15.6 sen the stock has moved UP from listing date to a high of 27.5 sen and not down which would be the case if they were selling into the market.
According to RHB the pp shares were fully subscribed before listing by ETRS so the possibility of ETRS not having money to pick up the pp shares before listing and having to contra sell as mentioned by OptimusX8 is also not possible.
We will know over the next few days f the stock holds well and goes up instead of down but at the moment it seems very unlikely that the stock will go down to the 22-23 sen support level and the red flag will turn green go again if Dato Dahlan or ETRS reports further buying activity which will then re-confirm the TP of 38 sen in May. Thank you.
since u said mpay is good , so go n buy more when it is up shall be the maxim. To me I will enter when it touches its low...that is bottom of the cup .not the sides or handle . Now the trading vol dwindles n selling volume increases exponentially. What is the reasoning?
ran777 so if we all conclude that neither ETRS nor Dato Dahlan has been selling in the market as proven by today's market action despite the announcement last night coupled with the fact that since the pp shares got listed on 18 March Mpay shares has in fact moved up instead of down then the disposal between the two related parties may just be housekeeping to layer further buying transactions below the 5% radar in preparation of further corporate announcements.
Today's price action is crucial as the red flag announcement last night will normally be followed by heavy selling by insiders and substantial shareholders but thus far the selling volume has been very very light and its holding up well above the 22-23 sen support level trading at 0.255 sen currently. In light of this I won't be surprised if it turns up later.
If we are entitled to trade and take profit why can't Mr Chan be allowed to do likewise especially on a good return of 27% in 6 weeks? He is neither on the Board of Directors or management of Mpay nor has he sold his original investment block of 36 m shares or 9% so give him a break. Everybody deserves to take some trading profit along the way so don't read too much into this.
More important is what Dato Dahlan and corporate Mpay is doing moving forward. Any downside would be limited. Thank you.
i wonder why since that S-hole leslie keep giving negative comment here but yet still here ?? funny?? he think we all r fool . n he is very fxxxking smart .
Lets keep our comments respectful and analytical here. Over time we should know who is sharing value added and who just don't talk sense. The on going track record and consistency will speak for itself though we all make mistakes. Lets keep it decent, sharing good quality information and learn from one another. Thank you.
i believe the 2 shortlisted companies suppose to be announce soon maybe at the end of 1Q, but Mr.Chan chose to dispose his share at this moment although not a big amount to him but i just wondering what's the reason behind...
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
KIMI06
206 posts
Posted by KIMI06 > 2014-03-24 16:59 | Report Abuse
no enought energy ...to break 0.275....