Icon8888 Gossips About Stocks

(Icon) Buying into BIMB-WA

Icon8888
Publish date: Thu, 25 Jun 2015, 12:13 PM
Icon8888
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I follow the smell of money.

 

 

The theme over the past six months was currency play. Exporters had done very well.

 

Same as everybody, my portfolio is full of exporters. I have no idea when Ringgit will rebounce. But common sense tells me that I should diversify.  

 

Banking stocks seemed to be a good choice. They are currency neutral. However, this industry is relatively matured and the stocks very well researched. In other words, they are not so exciting.  

 

I scanned through several smaller banking groups like AFG, BIMB, MBSB, RHB Capital. But I just cannot convince myself that they are the right choices.    

 

And then I bumped into BIMB-WA. 

 

 

With market price of 40.5 sen and exercise price of RM4.72, BIMB-WA is currently trading at conversion premium of 25%, in line with market's average conversion premium for Warrants of approximately 30%. 

 

It will expire in 8 years' time (December 2023).

 

Warrants that are out of money are to a large extent driven by emotion. They are notorious for their ability to shrink without good reason.

 

Even if mother share has not gone down much, Warrant's conversion premium could gradually disappear once the excitement / euphoria has died down. Please refer to the two charts below. BIMB mother shares had not gone down much, but BIMB-WA declined all the way from 90 sen to 40 sen.

 

(Historical share price of BIMB)

 

(Historcial price of BIMB-WA)

 

 

(BIMB-WA over past 6 months)

 

Is 40.5 sen a good price to enter ? This is a valid question as only not too long ago, BIMB-WA touched all time low of 32.5 sen. 

 

To be honest, I don't have the answer. But I hope that it not only goes down to 32.5 sen, but to 30 sen, 25 sen, 20 sen, 15 sen, 10 sen, 5 sen..... Because I am very keen to add more  at those levels. 

 

=======================================

 

Appendix - BIMB Historical Performance

 

Quarter Result:

F.Y. Quarter Revenue ('000) Profit before Tax ('000) Profit Attb. to SH ('000) EPS (Cent) DPS (Cent) NAPS
2015-12-31 2015-03-31 809,082 220,296 135,699 8.84 - 2.1300
2014-12-31 2014-12-31 761,496 219,851 153,905 10.30 - 1.9700
2014-12-31 2014-09-30 744,485 194,464 125,297 8.39 14.70 2.0500
2014-12-31 2014-06-30 734,597 206,682 129,672 8.68 - 1.9500
2014-12-31 2014-03-31 726,895 194,387 123,455 8.27 - 1.9500
2013-12-31 2013-12-31 729,075 220,704 60,145 5.56 - -
2013-12-31 2013-09-30 696,026 196,693 75,459 7.07 - 2.0000
2013-12-31 2013-06-30 707,448 213,039 69,581 6.52 3.50 1.9700
2013-12-31 2013-03-31 655,279 188,991 74,142 6.95 - 1.9600

 

BIMB has done well over past one to two years. Wih its small size, hopefully it can grow at above average rate. 

 

 

 

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Discussions
2 people like this. Showing 9 of 9 comments

funda

This warrant need lot lot of patience

2015-06-25 17:14

Icon8888

I have a lot of patience. Seriously. This is one of those stocks that I hope to keep indefinitely. I am trying to structure my portfolio so that I don't need to reshuffle them every now and then

2015-06-25 17:58

chy72

How about fetich rating

2015-06-25 23:24

paperplane2

Bimb? Lots of shit inside, our Mr?Mah manage, acct messy. Run even know how to do impairment. Good luck

2015-06-25 23:27

goreng_goreng

aiyoo.. really high risk la bro icon..

2015-06-25 23:35

anonymousinvestor

icon8888, may i clarify, is this the stocks u said u are quite collecting few months ago?

2015-06-26 15:15

Icon8888

No...

2015-06-26 15:28

anonymousinvestor

thanks icon8888. plz don't reveal it so soon. still have few months to go.. and if possible i hope u let me know 1st if u want to write about it after u have collected the volume... u know u have many readers recognize ur writing. millions of thanks!

2015-06-26 15:35

anonymousinvestor

no worry, i nvr push up the price but slowly collecting it as u do... i'm a patient guy.

2015-06-26 15:36

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