European natural gas is trading at nearly $500 in oil-equivalent terms. The obvious move is to switch to oil for anyone who can. In that case, oil usually means diesel. Notably, there were large exports of products from the US last week, presumably as diesel was shipped to Europe.
With that, the spread of diesel over gasoline is rising. It could be the best indicates of natural gas-to-oil switching.
What I understand on hedging loss is transfered to become gross profit gain as hedging is for protecting the desired/planned/locked in profit during the beginning of month planning. (If the planned gross profit for the month is 300 million with hedging then the sudden margin and price increase will result in 200 million hedging loss but the actual gross profit 500 million so net is still as planned/locked in 300 million)
What I cannot understand is why Q1 HRC got non cash inventories written down of 131.6 million?
Another few more days Q2 result will be out. So let the result speak for itself.
qqq3, Why are you so concerned about at what price otb bankrupt? Are you his BFF? If so no worries OTB already said even HRC go down to Zero he is still fine.
By the way I am trying to explain the refining margin swap. If you hedge margin swap at today USD 20 per barrel maturity 30 days later. You already locked in your margin at USD20 per barrel not matter what happen at the maturity date you will earned USD 20 per barrel.
qqq3 like to ride a tiger and surely one day he will be eaten by the tiger. ------------- Do you know that qqq3 was beaten up by a gang in Bangsa because of his bad mouth ? Hope he will turn into a new leaf. I do not like to bad mouth or attack anyone in I3.
It seems the tide has turn and looking forward to the Q2 report and from the info provided by Probability Q3 will be very good too Hold on tight and enjoy the ride !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
qqq3 like to ride a tiger and surely one day he will be eaten by the tiger. ------------- Do you know that qqq3 was beaten up by a gang in Bangsa because of his bad mouth ? Hope he will turn into a new leaf. I do not like to bad mouth or attack anyone in I3.
Someone challenged qqq3 in his posting a few years back, qqq3 admitted it. I was lucky to read that posting and keep it in my file. Thank you.
this otb is the worse character I ever come across in my life ---------------- I do not attack you all the times. You are the worst character person in I3. You attack almost everyone in I3 to gain attention. A poor investor only attack others. A very good investor knows to make money only and never attack any person in I3.
Let's squeeze hard and make the money from the mini crooks gang who tried to emulate the big boys. Cash out every spike until the value is back again. DO NOT support when there is just tiny volume traded. If this cant hold well again without flushing volume, the next will be lowering trap and beyond someone's imagination. Their loss is our potential gain. That's how it works in stock market. Many are making profits silently and a few make money at the same time accumulating extra thing in life too.
Hope 21/4/2022 up trending scenario will repeat in the next 2 weeks. Moving up non-stop until 7.70. Hope to see a limit up after Q2 2022 result is released. Long time never see a limit up on this stock. Last seen in 2017.
A heavily wounded stock with so much promising outlook shall not recover back in a short period anymore in most cases. The tiny volume is meant for the 4-4.50 trading range until the next super big thing if any. The way it is behaving prior to financial result announcement is not convincing. Take your return if it is still likely but not supporting at this moment until it stand tall above 4.50 for sometime. Of course overall volume and Bursa value can change this perception anytime. Just a reminder your potential loss might be our gain.
Diesel Profit Margins Soar to 30-Year Seasonal High as Supply Worries Grip the US Commodities 7 hours ago (Aug 22, 2022 04:09PM ET)
(Bloomberg) -- Diesel is fetching the highest premium to crude oil for this time of year in data going back more than 30 years.
The diesel crack spread, which represents the profit generated by turning a barrel of crude into diesel, approached $70 a barrel on Monday for the first time since June to stand at the highest for this time of year in records going back to 1986. The so-called crack spread was below $20 a barrel the same time last year. Demand is set to grow this winter with the US northeast likely burning more diesel for heating amid soaring natural gas prices.
The strength reflects growing concerns over the security of the nation’s fuel supply heading into peak demand season with national inventories at their lowest level since 2000 for this time of year. US fuelmakers haven’t been able to build up domestic stockpiles with Russian import bans reshuffling global trade patterns.
In New York Harbor, diesel tanks have seasonally never been emptier. Supplies could shrink further in the coming months as Gulf Coast refiners shut units for maintenance.
Why everyone attacking each other here? Share is going up, everyone here should be happy, no? Quarter result out soon. Then we know who talk fact and who tokok loh..
Hope 21/4/2022 up trending scenario will repeat in the next 2 weeks. Moving up non-stop until 7.70. Hope to see a limit up after Q2 2022 result is released. Long time never see a limit up on this stock. Last seen in 2017.
Hope 21/4/2022 up trending scenario will repeat in the next 2 weeks. Moving up non-stop until 7.70. Hope to see a limit up after Q2 2022 result is released. Long time never see a limit up on this stock. Last seen in 2017
Zhuge_liang I think your sifu estimate of 19.5 is too conservative. If Hengyuan report record EPS = 2, then base on conservative PER = 15, then 30 also possible
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
kingkong99
73 posts
Posted by kingkong99 > 2022-08-23 07:19 | Report Abuse
European natural gas is trading at nearly $500 in oil-equivalent terms. The obvious move is to switch to oil for anyone who can. In that case, oil usually means diesel. Notably, there were large exports of products from the US last week, presumably as diesel was shipped to Europe.
With that, the spread of diesel over gasoline is rising. It could be the best indicates of natural gas-to-oil switching.