Ehome009 should be applauded for his courage in standing up to disagree with PBB. He provided detail explanation for his cause but, to some, that cannot beat the one liner of the PBB. Maybe we should review the history of PBB's target price on Jaks
23 Nov 2017 - 1.50 5 Feb 2018 - 1.75 15 Mar 2018 - 1.60 7 June 2018 - 1.30 29 August 2018 - 1.10 30 Nov 2018 - 0.65 1 mar 2019 - 0.65 15 May 2019 - 0.75 22 August 2019 - 0.75 26 Nov 2019 - 1.00 28 Feb 2020 - 1.13
From as high as 1.75 to 0.65 in 12 months when Jaks fell from 1.84 to 0.405. I wonder if the TP follows the price fluctuation ? If so, it is very likely that PBB will upgrade its TP when Jaks' share price moves higher.
Some have so much faith in the CFO yet he does not believe the investment figure provided by him. A different vietnam approved investment amount ??? Bankers lend 75% base on a fake investment figure ??? Believe it or not ??? What a twist !
That is all for me for today.
Please ask if you have any sincere question for me.
I give a chance now If you do not invite me, I will talk about you
Actually
Today I am more interest to talk abou Phillip's working on imcomplete information and how reliable DK66 relative valuation. That is more interesting than talking whether you are a liar or not a liar.
Do not behave so stupid to tell be again and again you are not a liar. After sometimes everything will be forgotten. Why you refuse to let the bygone be bygone. Do you think your good English can defeat Aseng logical and systematic thinking?
DK66:- Jaks Resources - Same PPA Pricing for JHDP and Vinh Tan 1
PPA price = Fixed Price + Variable Price
Fixed price = Capacity Payment
Variable Price = Energy Payment
Evidence 1 This clause fixed the same capacity price for power plants with similar capacity. The capacity for VT1 is 1,240MW which is similar to the 1,200MW capacity of JHDP.
Evidence 2 "Fixed price of thermal power plants is determined on the basis of the project's financial analysis according to to this Circular with an internal rate of return on finance (IRR) not exceeding 12%."
This clause determined that the IRR of not more than 12% shall be based solely on Capacity payment.
Evidence 3 Both JHDP and VT1 have similar capital investments.
"The ratio of equity and borrowed capital in the Total investment for the first time: the equity ratio ranges from 20% to 30%, the loan ratio ranges from 70% to 80%.
Under such conditions, both JHDP and VT1 should have very similar future cash flow pattern as far as their capacity payment is concerned.
Evidence 4
The Table in NOTE 1 showed that the project IRR of VT1 is 13.2%. Assuming that the projected IRR is 12% for capacity payment, therefore, the energy payment only contributed additional 1.2% (13.2% - 12%) to the IRR. In this case, the Capacity and Energy payment ratio is 90:10.
This shows that fluctuation in Energy payment does not have a significant impact on total PPA payment. Therefore, plant efficiency differentiation will not cause a material impact on PPA payment.
Therefore, this article supports the notion put forward in my earlier article "Jaks Resources - The Most Reliable Earnings Guidance for JHDP" that Vinh Tan 1 provides a very reliable relative valuation for JHDP.
still got 555 notebook? should keep some as collection some Tan Sri maybe many years later pay RM50,000.00 for one coz it reminds him of his childhood.
we can not deny his report just because the actual data is not available the power plant is still not yet completed , such a demand is excessive no sensible mind will allow
Now I start to groom another 2 guys for HSI. also hand holding them.
with qualitative and quantitative approach to build their fundamental. Need very constructive ways to guide such as what is action and reaction but not simply judge. otherwise will wrongly put into push and pull factors.
The last 4.5 years Im on net gain every year. last year very less trading as work in oversea. years before over 500%.
Posted by dragonslayer > May 17, 2020 11:39 AM | Report Abuse
Aiyo Alien ..not true leh..my 555 notebook..really noted all those very very useful tips...not junks lah.....those junks no need to write in my 555 notebook..those junks in my memory for lepak only kah...me lepak king mah..pre requisite..is ..must have good memory lah...lol..aiyoyo..kikiki
I was away from i3 for quite long. Expanding our business made me so dead busy.
I just noticed now that when volume is high many newbies also walking tall like they are "capable" to do full time...... and also some start to share how they spotted gems... they never know after MCO when volume down its totally different ball game
very less people can understand how 做盘 but talk like very pro....
Ha.a.a.a..a... I smell dead body everywhere... 天意!
What we already know from report => Public Bank got evidence of huge cash flow problems. if only small cash flow problems of just a few million, Manager will strike off "still wary" sentence. How huge is the cashflow problem? that Public Bank is concerned about RI?
I do not mind to pay some money (RI) to buy 10% more for the gold mine
if you have a power plant that can generate 200M cash every year, do you still worry about your cash flow. I am more worry you will steal my money.
i3lurker// What we already know from report => Public Bank got evidence of huge cash flow problems. if only small cash flow problems of just a few million, Manager will strike off "still wary" sentence. How huge is the cashflow problem? that Public Bank is concerned about RI?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
i3lurker
13,956 posts
Posted by i3lurker > 2020-05-17 09:45 | Report Abuse
Aseng
Let me suggest that you post the same thing about the RI every day at precisely 8:30am
Sure when newbies see it their hands will freeze.
Newbies, just about to click BUY Jaks but when see Aseng talk about RM250 million RI will just stop !!
Aseng
lol
You are my best Friend BFF
I think Aseng just saved many newbies from buying again.
Please do it again tomorrow! Sure will stop many newbies from buying Jaks
Aseng I will remind you again to tomorrow to stop people from buying Jaks
It is a Sunday, I see you tomorrow moring Aseng
Standby to post everyday at 8:30 am to prevent newbies from buying Jaks
Aseng, we make a good team, you and I. BFF forever.