Bro. Shan Kee Tiow , Your explanations on NAV/RNAV are agreeable & correct . Thank you very much . In attempting to forecast TP for Jaks , PBB has opted to use RNAV method . Their computation is not wrong in so far as arriving at RNAV for 2020 is concerned , taking into account only 1 year estimated net earnings attributable to Jaks ( no multiplier ) . They started with NAV at 31.12.2019. But the analyst's next objective is to forecast TP , right ? And you have given a brilliant explanation of TP in your earlier posting which i fully agree . And the analyst has given only 1 x RNAV ( after 35% discount ) as the TP for Jaks ! Don't you think it is very unreasonable and maybe ridiculous knowing that Jaks' power plant is very near COD & the risk of failure is near 0 ? By the way , what is the true objective of forecasting TP ?
VIN3133 Exactly, it was a grave mistake by PBB analyst who just accorded 1x FCFE derived as it's TP. The analyst should acknowledge this flaw and make a revision to the TP. Hopefully PBB can come back to us as their reputation is at stake.
"The big money is not in the buying and the selling, but in the waiting." - Charlie Munger ==================
that is holding on to a great company with profits.......
does not apply to your failed Miss Universe stock....in fact , does not apply to any of your other failed Miss Universe.........
qqq moment of creativity and genius............hahahahaha
For those who had switched out from Jaks, the Miss Universe to the Theme stocks in play of Glove and healthcare in March would have recovered all losses and make one to two times more, depending on stocks such as TG, Spmx, comfort and the likes rather than blind blind hold on to something still in the hot air balloon after broken some many technical supports otw down south such because of superb promotion by certain quarters.
The quarter result of Penergy is out today, there is a loss of 20.7 million. Please read the below link. https://www.malaysiastock.biz/Corporate-Infomation.aspx?securityCode=5133 I will remove this stock from my watchlist next week. I will bring back this stock again if the next quarter result is good. I cannot accept a big loss company.
I had said, please sell any stock if you think that there is a loss in the upcoming quarter result. I apologise for your loss.
Shan Kee Tiow , DK66 ,Ehome009 or anyone else , would you know or best guess on what approach and factors did the PB analyst used in his computation and deriving a value of rm2.2629B for MFCB's 80% of Don Shanong ? Tks
Shan Kee Tiow THX VIN3133 The best way is to refer to the SOTP valuation method of mfcb. 16/05/2020 4:38 PM
Antifakeguru, Please leave sifu OTB alone. 股票投资怎能尽如人意? 你做人有点水准行不行? You may hv loss some money following OTB stock advice, but other subscribers etc did make some profit following his recommendations. OTB 真人真名在此亮相,你敢吗?
I agree with DK66 that Peer comparison is one of the most reliable ways of determining the future earnings of JDHP.
With the 1st turbine just days away from kick off, it's all uphill for JAKS from here onwards.
Whatever potential negative news or uncertainties about JAKS have already been priced in.
For those who are doubtful, let me ask you one simple question:-
Why would the Chinese banks lend money to build a USD1.87 billion power plant which is more expensive than Vinh Tanh but only earning less than half of what Vinh Tanh is currently earning???
Does that make any bloody sense?? Why the hell would anyone lend any money to build something more expensive but earning way less than what they currently have???
If you think so, then I guess you're one idiot who shouldn't even be in the money markets.
qqq33333333:- As far as I'm concerned, the fact that you bought KPOWER, an utter garbage of a stock at RM1.59 with a PE of 37X pretty much destroys any credibility you may have about advising anyone on anything.
You come to this forum and attack anyone who doesn't agree with your bearish view on JAKS. You try to insinuate that JAKS is overbought or not worth buying at the current price, yet you yourself admitted that you bought KPOWER at RM1.59, a garbage, loss-making company that was trading as low as 0.29 just months ago...LOL
People who bought at RM0.29 are now laughing at you for buying from them at RM1.59 because they already made 448% from sorchais like you who think that KPOWER can go to RM3.01! LOL!!!
I buy K Power because I am bullish about K Power......can or cannot? Nothing to do with u......
What I high light to u is some thing more specific, more technical..........
that before u fellows start demanding PBB apologise to u idiots..that, the fact remains........even the management of Jaks have no problems with PBB report...........
don't believe me....ask them........
Sslee has reconstructed a possible forecast of IPP 30% profits about $ 100 million based on presentations from AGM. I think it sounds reasonable...and making an accounting rate of return of 17%...go ask him how he did it............
PBB and Sslee takes guidance from management.......
or u can buy jaks based on OTB formula AXBXCXD = super profits.
up to u lah.....but don't say PBB is wrong because they are not wrong., at least not wrong in conceptual terms. Of course analysts can be wrong about predictions.
3qeight3 talk n talk n talk for 3 days 3 nites n and not a single ...i repeat... not a single worksheet or article to back up his/her theory...like that how ??? ...can accept his/her explaination ???...or would u rather accept DK66 n other bros.. enlightenment on Ms JAKS potential ???
brutus.........I write down my predictions , with reasonings, sealed in an envelop............at the right time, I will unseal the envelop.....and at the right time will say I told u so......
Jaks fair price will be RM1.80 to RM2.25 base on PE15x to PE20x. If you don't believe you will be regretted. Time will prove. I won't write anymore because most of them are stupid or idiot.
if ur prediction is wrong i presume that letter of truth will not see d LIGHT OF DAY !!!...like that anwser who dont know ur dearest mummy where skirt in her younger days ...no offence !!!
qqq33333333:- sslee's calculations are NOT CERTAIN and error-free! He isn't even sure which number is the correct one! He is basing his entire calculations on assumptions/estimations which could be WRONG! His estimates are NOT INFALLIBLE!
What is 100% CERTAIN and INFALLIBLE is Vinh Tan's annual result which according to DK66, generated RM652m in 2019! Now that is a FACT unless you want to say that the annual result posted is fake which is utter rubbish. The Vinh Tanh power plant is similar if not identical to JDHPs which means that logically speaking, JDHP should produce a similar result as it costs way more to built than Vinh Tan.
Now, answer this question with facts and logic:- why the hell would JDHP earn less than half of what Vinh Tan is earning when JDHP costs more to built?
Why should JDHP's earnings be just a paltry RM100 million when according to Vinh Tan's annual result, JDHP could very likely generate a similar result!
Second, show me when and where did the management said that JDHP's earnings is only RM100 million per annum! You are a liar who has grossly misled investors here! As far as I'm concerned, you're a complete idiot who lies through his teeth sprouting nonsense.
DK66:- Thanks for the article. Would be most grateful if you could address the matter raised by sslee where he claimed that during the 2019 AGM, the BOD claimed that the 30% profit from JDHP would just be a paltry 84 to 100 million. Thanks!
So according to Philip's assessment, we should use the most conservative figure of net profit of just RM14 million which means that JAKS is just worth RM0.21 at PE of 10..LOL
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA...
Joke of the year!..
JAKS just worth 21 cents with JDHP's profits..LOL
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
qqq33333333
3,053 posts
Posted by qqq33333333 > 2020-05-16 14:33 | Report Abuse
Jaks share, I vote it the most educational.......just give it time to educate..........
I already written it down, sealed in an envelop...at the right time, I will say...I told you so...........