Let's see how the market takes this news. Might see a jump in price and volume tomorrow, or it might be a nothing-burger.
Keep in mind that there are some key Malaysian/Petronas FPSO tenders on-going - Salam-Patawali (Conoco), Kikeh replacement FPSO and Kelidang (Brunei). Might be wanting to consolidate things closer to home as well.
Also, a dark horse might be Bumi Armada's position in the FSIU / FCSIU space. They're doing advanced work for FSIU / CCS for Shell. MISC might want to leverage on Bumi Armada's expertise in this area. I personally think that Bumi Armada doesn't have any edge in this area...but maybe they do, and we don't know yet.
This leak ? 😀 : Bumi Armada's largest substantial shareholders are billionaire businessman Tatparanandam Ananda Krishnan, who has a 34.58% stake; various funds under statecontrolled asset management outfit Permodalan Nasional Bhd, with a 13.25% stake; and privately held Saluran Abadi Sdn Bhd, the vehicle of Farah Suhanah Ahmad Sarji, with a 6.08% stake.
I m buying Armada, huge potential for price spike up with FPSO demand continue rise worldwide. Easily go beyond $1.00 with forward PE 6 + MISC to buy it's share. Can up 80% by couple of weeks once big fund mgr observed it potential with sales order Rm9.1bil + additional Rm10.7bil, that Rm20bil secured business, plus now MISC plan to buy Armada to expand it's FPSO business, opportunity is huge
Shares of Bumi Armada jumped after local media reported that energy-shipping business MISC could be considering acquiring a substantial stake in the company.
Shares of the Malaysia-based offshore energy facilities and services provider rose as much as 6.9% on Tuesday morning. They were recently 4.3% higher at 0.61 ringgit ($0.13), taking 12-month gains to more than 23% and giving the company a market capitalization at MYR3.44 billion.
The Edge publication on Saturday quoted unnamed sources as saying that MISC may be in talks with Bumi Armada shareholders to buy a significant stake.
MISC shares were last 0.5% lower at MYR8.74.
Neither company immediately responded to requests for comment.
Maybank Investment Bank analyst Jeremie Yap said Tuesday that if the deal materializes, it could boost Bumi Armada's shares and would likely be neutral for MISC stock.
Bumi Armada has struggled to secure new floating production storage and offloading vessel jobs recently, likely due to unproven bankability in the past years, Yap said. If it doesn't win enough contracts, Bumi Armada will enter an earnings growth stagnation phase in 2025, he added.
BIMB Securities said it is unconvinced that MISC will proceed with the deal, which it thinks isn't financially justifiable. There are numerous other investment opportunities available that could yield significant returns for MISC's shareholders, the brokerage said.
Given the funding issues that MISC and industry peers are facing globally, the potential acquisition looks like a waste of financial resources, BIMB analyst Azim Faris Ab Rahim said in a note.
With such so call good news only jump 2-3c. May falling back to square later. Like it or not this is BAB pattern. A stock not worth for investment nor trading.
Those who want an explanation or official clarification can write to Bursa Malaysia (Group 3) or Bumi Armada management. It feels like insiders knew about this and were buying last week already.
Once a golden opportunity to buy Armada, stable, secure, profitable with super earning+ high net profits margin 35% + next Rm20bil business lock down.. what's else provide a secure, guarantee business to investors, super undervalued. Huge opportunity
o&g getting the limelight it deserves, and if BA can perk up interest with its T4Q PER of 9.47x how about Yinson which is only at 7.77x ? Also I believe Yinson has a huuuuuuge order value in place.... or cud this all be AK's retirement plan.... as he lacks succession planning :-) happy hunting
In reference to the article in The Edge Malaysia dated 8 July 2024 which speculates on the possibility of MISC undertaking a corporate transaction involving Bumi Armada Berhad, the Company wishes to clarify that whilst MISC continues to explore growth opportunities, in its ordinary course of business, there is currently no development within any opportunity that would necessitate disclosure as per the Main Market Listing Requirements of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad.
This seems to be the usual way with BAB. When Kraken had HSP failure we had to get information from Enuest, even though the matter was immaterial for them. Any develpment that leads to change in management I approve, as they do not care about minority shareholders being informed.
No smoke without fire. Just that this will take some time to materialise. Meantime, the management will take this as an excuse to sit back and relax. No more initiative to look for projects. What a joke...
Speculations of a merger might have lifted Bumi Armada’s (BAB) share price in the past month. While combining both FPSO fleets may propel the merged entity to Modec’s fleet size, alongside complementary geographical FPSO market presence, the stumbling blocks are too great in our opinion. There is a lack of financial synergies from the non FPSO segments. If any, we think a collaboration in certain projects may generate more positive market reaction. We advise investors to take profit on BAB.
SELL BAB with an unchanged target price of RM0.50. We assume the recent share price appreciation is related to the speculation, as BAB’s fundamentals is unchanged with no nearterm prospects of a contract win. Moreover, a Jun 24 Upstream article revealed that the payment dispute by ONGC for the JV FPSO Armada Sterling V still lingers, despite the FPSO having already achieved first oil on 7 Jan 24. This also implies that the final acceptance test may miss management’s expectation of Jun 24. Hence, we advise taking profit on BAB.
Potential to create a mega FPSO player equal to Modec’s fleet size, with complementary areas in geographical reach.
Theoretically, combining the 13/8 offshore assets of MISC/BAB can create an FPSO behemoth with a fleet size equivalent to Modec, the largest FPSO player globally
Armada already missed on the expectation of acceptance test for ASV. They also missed to deliver on the promise of contracts in the Caspian, where Greedy Gary went to find an excuse for NOT getting involved.
Sleepy Gary reported that he has nothing to report. Now he will take a few weeks of rest thinking that anouncement of nothing is something to cover up his idleness.
Bumi Armada is pleased to announce that the Armada Sterling V FPSO has completed the necessary acceptance tests and successfully achieved Final Acceptance effective 1 July 2024. The achievement of Final Acceptance signifies the commencement of the firm charter period for the Armada Sterling V FPSO.
As previously announced on 6 May 2019, the vessel charter is for a firm period of nine (9) years, with ONGC having the option to extend for an additional seven (7) years, on a yearly basis.
Still puzzling why it takes them 10 days to announce. If they practice good governance, they should announce as soon as something is finalised to minimise insider trading.
Some announcements due in the 2nd half of the year:
1. Armada Sterling V full acceptance 2. Armada TGT charter extension 3. RM1.5bil corporate sukuk refinancing 4. Update on Akia PSC 5. Armada Kraken / Sterling II charter extension
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
nikicheong
2,558 posts
Posted by nikicheong > 2024-07-08 14:12 | Report Abuse
Let's see how the market takes this news. Might see a jump in price and volume tomorrow, or it might be a nothing-burger.
Keep in mind that there are some key Malaysian/Petronas FPSO tenders on-going - Salam-Patawali (Conoco), Kikeh replacement FPSO and Kelidang (Brunei). Might be wanting to consolidate things closer to home as well.
Also, a dark horse might be Bumi Armada's position in the FSIU / FCSIU space. They're doing advanced work for FSIU / CCS for Shell. MISC might want to leverage on Bumi Armada's expertise in this area. I personally think that Bumi Armada doesn't have any edge in this area...but maybe they do, and we don't know yet.