Imagine this. Put a tray of water into your freezer and the temperature drops to the threshold of freezing. The water remains a liquid until—ah-whoom—it suddenly turns into ice. Just a small incremental change in temperature leads to a change from liquid to solid.
the problem with accountants is that gives them a bit of info, they cook up a whole set of theory
Jon is like that, qqq3 is like that
philosophical, but not hard-hitting
engineers are different, they painstakingly put together information to form a working model closely mirroring real life operating conditions. They treat complicated systems (such as stock market) as a giant machinery (in this case, consuming information). Pull the right levels, press the right buttons, then you will get the right outcome. Emphasis is on precision, instead of vague concepts. That is how people like probability operates
Oh Icon8888...you made my day!...thanks from bottom of my heart!
you described it very well..
Posted by Icon8888 > Mar 10, 2019 10:03 PM | Report Abuse
the problem with accountants is that gives them a bit of info, they cook up a whole set of theory
Jon is like that, qqq3 is like that
philosophical, but not hard-hitting
engineers are different, they painstakingly put together information to form a working model closely mirroring real life operating conditions. They treat complicated systems (such as stock market) as a giant machinery (in this case, consuming information). Pull the right levels, press the right buttons, then you will get the right outcome. Emphasis is on precision, instead of vague concepts. That is how people like probability operates
In highly complex, reflexive and chaotic systems like the market, I don't think it makes sense to aim for precision.
Kyy saying he is buying now, versus him saying the same thing 5 years from now, will have very different effects.
It would be better to have a mental model, and a deep understanding of first principles, incentives, human nature etc
And then from there analyse what is going on.
I admire conscientiousness and the goal to have a very high confidence level. But I think, often the chase to get new information, to be more precise, is often a futile or low utility activity.
By the way, this mental model or concept. I learnt it from Micheal mouboussin. It made alot of sense for me when it comes to understanding certain things.
Siapa tu? One of the heads of legg Mason capital, the only fund to beat the market for 15 years consecutively. A 1 in 2.3million possibility event.
Dude was probably just lucky. And angmoh theory don't work in klse!
Phil,i have to agree with you this time.If choivo kiddo has no solid results to show to anyone over a period of at least 5 yrs,he should shut the f up.Wakakaka.This is i3 ,boy.We look at results.
This will be the first time in my life I post in a blog.
I joined i3 few months ago and had benefited tremendously from the resources it makes available to me. I would like to make i3 even better by contributing my knowledge, analysis and opinion. Hopefully one day it will become a depository of knowledge which will benefit everybody.
I am capable of being very long winded. In order to make my blog readable, I will discipline myself to write only the essentials.
almost exactly 5 years ago...look how humble and considerate Icon was...he even foreseen that on the first posting... to keep his articles only to the essential that conveys a meaning which is potent.
Jon.... Icon is completely opposite of you in terms of humbleness and how he delivers his message.
i3 is really thankful to get a precious gift like him
problem is with losers like jon choivo the more he lose out, the louder he gets.
If he stays humble, keeps quiet, gets in some good long term results and then says what he wants, charge investors 5K, promotes his ideas over other people I have zero issue.
This article is a finger diarrhea. Lots of words, lots of trying to sound sophisticated, lots of trying to be knowledageable etc. but has no substance, no accuracy, no supporting facts and no value to anyone who reads it.
This article is an attention seeking attempt by the author.
But I tell u what..............they say buy low sell high....but what is high and low?
There is a better modified version, buy low volume , sell high volume. On Friday, it was 90 million shares done worth $ 135 million, setting some sort of record...... Smart of not to jump in now? No other share to buy already?
Posted by qqq3 > Mar 10, 2019 08:43 PM | Report Abuse y Connie555 > Mar 10, 2019 04:50 PM | Report Abuse Ricky, Choivo, KC all have similar traits ========== spot on. A few more in the camp. Don't know why but its not a coincidence they all call themselves Value Investors.......
I don't see any contrarian investors in the camp, Don't see anyone with a big Q in the camp, only see scared scared players in the camp.
quack quack quack, as a 60+ years old retiree with your kind of mentality, not to say your extremely shallow knowledge or rather non-existent knowledge in investing, you are no way close to the capability of those two young men. So, if I were you, I would just keep quiet, instead of personally attacking them.
Look at you this two years, quack quack quack the whole day and everyday in i3investor, what positive value have you brought?
I say you brought in huge negative value to i3investor community, like conning the newbies and youngsters, ask them to use margin and sailang on your Jaks and Sendai at peak prices, while you collaborated and sold to them and made killings. You said that.
The price performance smell like a Pyramid scheme to me. I saw the below acticle in Hengyuan back then before it crash boom and bang and thought it is timely to share it here. Of course, in every scheme, those make money will always trumpet his victory while those burn will alway keep silent while lickin its wound. Ego eh! So those make money which is handful of them is enough to continue to lure these lemming to jump off the cliff. The cycle shall repeat again.
"One day a merchant came to the village to buy these monkeys! He announced that he is seeking to buy monkeys @ $100 each. The villagers thought that this man is crazy to want to buy stray monkeys at $100 each.
Only few people caught some monkeys and sold them to merchant at $100 each. This went on for few days attracting more sellers.
After a few days, the merchant returned to announce that he will now pay $200 for each monkey. Even the lazy villagers got off their behinds to catch the remaining monkeys! And they were paid twice at $200 per monkey.
The merchant returned to the village after a few days to announce that the village monkeys are very much liked by his ‘potential customers’, therefore the price he was willing to pay for each monkey is now a whopping $500!!
The villagers started to lose sleep! After searching every tree and monkey hiding place thoroughly, they were able to find only six or seven monkeys, which was all that was left and were paid $500 each.
The villagers went to all the neighboring villages to find monkeys in case the merchant returned for more monkeys at even higher price. However they had very little luck finding a single monkey.
As expected and hoped, the merchant returned to announce he is planning to return in a week to buy more monkeys - this time at the unbelievable price of $1000!!! He also asked the villagers to help his employee take care of the monkeys he bought so far until he returns.
The villagers were very sad as there were no more monkeys left for them to sell for $1000 each. His employee employee, however, offered to make a secret deal with them selling part of the inventory for $700 per monkey to the villagers.
This seemed like a great news to the villagers. They figured they can’t go wrong making riskless $300 profit from each monkey they sell back to the merchant.
The next day, villagers lined up near the monkey cage. The employee sold all the monkeys at $700 each. The rich bought monkeys in large lots, while the poor borrowed money from money lenders and purchased fewer monkeys.
The villagers then took care of their monkeys & waited for the merchant to return. But he never did! Then they tried to find his employee. But he had disappeared too!
The villagers then realized that they have bought the useless stray monkeys @ $700 each and are unable to resell them!"
kc...u and your gang quote here quote there can make money meh? Your gang member calvin getting more adventurous these days. Good for him. Looking for trends, looking for trend plays, looking for what people wants....but I must also add a bit too imaginative for my taste.
want to do proper investing? Learn from Philips
want to look for the fastest running horse? maybe KYY has a point.....
You're right. You should stay quiet instead of calling everything textbook theory when you don't understand the theory itself. I know I know, you will say so much theory can make money or not. Nonetheless, it is amazing someone can dismiss a theory as useless when he didn't understand it in the first place.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
qqq3
13,202 posts
Posted by qqq3 > 2019-03-10 20:43 | Report Abuse
y Connie555 > Mar 10, 2019 04:50 PM | Report Abuse
Ricky, Choivo, KC all have similar traits
==========
spot on. A few more in the camp. Don't know why but its not a coincidence they all call themselves Value Investors.......
I don't see any contrarian investors in the camp, Don't see anyone with a big Q in the camp, only see scared scared players in the camp.