Hng33, I have many times provided mathematical calculation proving that the construction profit from the EPC2 contract in Vietnam is sufficient for the outstanding future capital commitment.
---------------------- hng33 Dear DK66
Up to last quarter result, Jaks still have outstanding commitment RM 220m balance for its 30% stake entitlement in IPP. Do you think the balance construction profit is enough to cover all these commitment? 03/05/2020 10:18 PM
Hng33, maybe this is true for you as you are very short term players. JHDP offers 25 years of prosperity and you are concerned with just 1 or 2 quarters of poor results before the power plant starts operation. ------------------ hng33 It is check and balance in turn of analyze Jaks to not only cover good prospect of its IPP in 2021 onward, but also take into account setback face by Jaks in 2020. 03/05/2020 10:20 PM
DK66 Hng33, maybe this is true for you as you are very short term players. JHDP offers 25 years of prosperity and you are concerned with just 1 or 2 quarters of poor results before the power plant starts operation. ------------------
When a person have a high position on a stock.....whatever Negative facts also can become Positive !!!
Cloudboy, your have a valid point which I can't deny. That is the risk I have to take if I wish to take on this rare opportunity. Nothing is risk free.
Would you like to share your thought on why you bought Jaks despite knowing the risk ?
---------------------- Cloudboy I have position in Jaks....but all this profit estimation by sifu here whether will come truth ..nobody know
And one more thing I wanted to highlight is... even Jaks hit whatever potential earning mentioned by the sifu here....whether andy ang will share the profit with the shareholder as a form of consistent dividend distribution or share buyback ...is a BIG question....???
History of Jaks management already shows execution risk. 03/05/2020 10:10 PM
I bought jaks bcs it has a huge drop from RM 1.50++ to RM 0.70++.....I have small exposure of 195000 unit shares of Jaks average at RM 0.79
As we all know, no market moves in a straight line Given the overall negative undertone from the economic challenges ahead and the positive & negative facts of jaks... i will start trimming my position on JAKS
Trade with care!!
-------------------
DK66 Cloudboy, your have a valid point which I can't deny. That is the risk I have to take if I wish to take on this rare opportunity. Nothing is risk free.
Would you like to share your thought on why you bought Jaks despite knowing the risk ?
---------------------- Cloudboy I have position in Jaks....but all this profit estimation by sifu here whether will come truth ..nobody know
And one more thing I wanted to highlight is... even Jaks hit whatever potential earning mentioned by the sifu here....whether andy ang will share the profit with the shareholder as a form of consistent dividend distribution or share buyback ...is a BIG question....???
History of Jaks management already shows execution risk. 03/05/2020 10:10 PM
This media news appears to be very recent . Translation into English and/or Chinese for benefit of readers here , anybody please . --------------------------------------------------- Yong>Ensuring the progress of the billion-dollar project. https://baohaiduong.vn/doanh-nghiep/doanh-nghiep-no-luc-vuot-bao-covid... 03/05/2020 9:30 PM
Cloudboy, thanks for telling. I suppose we have different investment strategies. Wish you all the best.
------------------------- Cloudboy Dk66
I bought jaks bcs it has a huge drop from RM 1.50++ to RM 0.70++.....I have small exposure of 195000 unit shares of Jaks average at RM 0.79
As we all know, no market moves in a straight line Given the overall negative undertone from the economic challenges ahead and the positive & negative facts of jaks... i will start trimming my position on JAKS
Ensuring the progress of the billion dollar project
By March, after nearly 10 years of construction, BOT Hai Duong Thermal Power Plant in Quang Thanh Commune (Kinh Mon Town) has completed over 90% of the construction and installation of equipment. large and small devices, and testing individual equipment, interlocking some systems.
The plant, with a total investment of about US $ 2.2 billion, is in the final stage to connect to the 220 kV power transmission network and prepare to put into operation the first unit in the fourth quarter of this year and the whole. project in the second quarter of 2021. It is expected that the plant will provide 7.5 billion kWh of electricity to the national grid every year.
The Covid-19 pandemic occurred, which caused the investor's calculations to change. Mr. Do Manh Hung, Head of Government Relations and Business Development Department of Jaks Hai Duong Power Co., Ltd said: "The project is in the stage of construction, testing and basically completing the project according to the schedule. During the course of the road, a number of Chinese project managers, equipment experts and engineers could not return to work, and some materials and equipment could not be imported. According to the schedule, the project implementation is in danger of being delayed. "
Facing this difficulty, the company has cooperated with contractors to mobilize Chinese experts and workers with experience working on other domestic thermal projects to support. The company has also proposed Chinese experts and engineers who cannot return to Vietnam to work or exchange online.
The company has made a list of Chinese experts and engineers who need to return to Vietnam to ask the two countries' authorities to create a specific mechanism for entry. The company is ready to use private cars or private aircraft to transport experts and workers on the list as well as a commitment to strictly implement the disease prevention measures.
Please allow me another attempt to promote my article. TQ
---------------------- My latest article "Jaks Resources - The Most Reliable Earnings Guidance for JHDP" provides an indisputable, reliable and convincing profit guidance for JHDP. It is straightforward and easy to understand.
I quote Aseng "Aseng is just a satayman selling satay at the roadside also can understand" I quote warrantKing "I think your article is most reliable source to project JAKS's coming EPS."
The article has dismissed all accusations against me for providing imaginary forecasts.
Relative valuation by peer comparison is the most reliable method for making profit forecast of another company having high degree of similarity in characteristics including size, location, terms and conditions etc. This method alleviates the need for projection of future cash flow, hypothetical assumptions, management guidance and complicated computations.
I believe this article will rekindle investors' interest in Jaks including those attempting to buy low.
Cloud boy, sorry to say your reason to invest just because it dropped from 1.50 to 0.6 too weak a good reason and questionable.
I have 100 ways to question your honesty or interprete your trading philosophy. But I do not because I want to be a good man now. That is what I had learnt from DK66
We can simply ignore what Hng33 said I can guarantee you, he is waiting to buy a few cents lower if not he won't be working so hard to bring the price down.
If I am not wrong DK66 and OTB had specifically written some articles to explain why the loss in the local business is very insignificant compared with the earning of the power plant and no one can prove it wrong or prove the calculation had doubt then. Now the market sentiment is bad you bring up again to confuse us. Your honesty is questionable. Do have any new thing to talk other than singing the old song non stop
All the good points cloudboy and Hng33 talked about I had already challenged Dk66 before. DK66 had provide me a very good reply. I am very happy, convinced and satisfied
Whether you are happy or not happy I don't care But When I feel your honesty is questionable I can't stop myself not to speak out like what I had done earlier
I think everyone trading philosophy is buy low sell higher.....Sorry i just being honest
--------------- Aseng Good morning my good friends
Cloud boy, sorry to say your reason to invest just because it dropped from 1.50 to 0.6 too weak a good reason and questionable.
I have 100 ways to question your honesty or interprete your trading philosophy. But I do not because I want to be a good man now. That is what I had learnt from DK66
Aseng....you can prevent him to buy few cents lower by buying as much as u can today...even prop up the price to RM 1.10....Im very happy if u do so....U have your chance today...to make hhg33 regret.....
and 1 more thing....i just want to said is those who believe by talking in i3 forum can move the price up or down are really naive. --------------------------------------------------------------
Aseng We can simply ignore what Hng33 said I can guarantee you, he is waiting to buy a few cents lower if not he won't be working so hard to bring the price down.
I learnt from DK66 The accounting, the auditing the valuation methodology More valuable to me and I am still learning from him what is a good man and how to be a good man although I am already an old man
This does not sound a very good advice to me. I have my own trading strategy Thank you
Cloudboy Aseng....you can prevent him to buy few cents lower by buying as much as u can today...even prop up the price to RM 1.10....Im very happy if u do so....U have your chance today...to make hhg33 regret.....
and 1 more thing....i just want to said is those who believe by talking in i3 forum can move the price up or down are really naive
market is not our obedient son if we do not speak with solid fact and data , only those pitiful weak hands will listen to you, strong hand will not you will see the the price fluctuate awhile , then moving back again
that is what sifu said
shares trading is a transfer of wealth from the weaker hand to the stronger hand
Cloudboy
and 1 more thing....i just want to said is those who believe by talking in i3 forum can move the price up or down are really naive
Speculation = most companies reported share of profit based on equity interest, hence, should be 50% to Jaks Facts = OTB confirmed by Jaks auditor that share of profit from JV to be 30%.
I try to be a good man I am happy to explain why we shouldn't worry about the coming QR a few more times even though many sifu had already explained it many times
Stock: [JAKS]: JAKS RESOURCES BHD
May 3, 2020 7:27 PM | Report Abuse
Monkey or any animal willing to use its brain also knows that before the power plant starts contributing profit the coming quarters result can not be good.
Icon8888 had quoted some examples telling us a fact that we shouldn't be that shortsighted, recently many strong fundamental companies had announced bad quarter result but the share price move up more than 10% the next day. Reason? The price is already deeply undervalued but the fundamental of the company is still the same. As long as long term prospects is good, short-term pain can be ignored.
Posted by chl1989 > May 4, 2020 11:52 AM | Report Abuse
once q results are announced, go b to 40c. this year bad year for jaks. next year flourish
I do not know much about accounting or Vietnamese monetary policy
both JRB and CPECC are foreign investors in other people land of course they wish to bring home all the profit they have made my common sense tell me it is easier to bring home the dividend than the entire profit so dividend is definitely not an issue they are more creative and clever than us
Blog: Jaks Resources - Who controls JHDP ?
May 2, 2020 2:18 PM | Report Abuse
moreover CPECC has more dividend to receive no reason they are not happy to do so
Blog: Jaks Resources - Who controls JHDP ?
May 2, 2020 2:27 PM | Report Abuse
so, from what we had gathered the deal is safe for all parties whether Jaks has 50% now or 30% later dividend is just the matter of time because both parties wish to bring money home
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ DK66 I m now carrying out a research on the potential for JHDP to achieve a materially higher return than Vinh Tan 1 on certain grounds. Wish me luck. 04/05/2020 4:29 PM
Aseng, don't be too hopeful yet. The idea just crossed my mine. I m not sure whether the article will materialise or not. I need to carry out the research first. That is why I said "wish me luck". --------------- Aseng DK66,
I believe your next article will be more convincing than the previous one.
God bless.
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Posted by DK66 > 2020-05-03 22:45 | Report Abuse
Hng33, I have many times provided mathematical calculation proving that the construction profit from the EPC2 contract in Vietnam is sufficient for the outstanding future capital commitment.
----------------------
hng33 Dear DK66
Up to last quarter result, Jaks still have outstanding commitment RM 220m balance for its 30% stake entitlement in IPP. Do you think the balance construction profit is enough to cover all these commitment?
03/05/2020 10:18 PM